Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.959664 3.524084 4.137249 4.849274 5.649681 6.518031 7.527615
2026-01-11 2.278114 3.046052 3.950249 5.078600 6.433545 7.992936 9.907214
2026-01-18 1.707721 2.562840 3.651172 5.102438 6.949610 9.184771 12.053718
2026-01-25 1.230814 2.085726 3.263739 4.939427 7.191641 10.043261 13.849619
2026-02-01 0.899260 1.724983 2.955681 4.816425 7.444337 10.907214 15.687592
2026-02-08 0.660318 1.439129 2.694337 4.705783 7.679027 11.739549 17.512415
2026-02-15 0.494435 1.225925 2.498400 4.651561 7.968448 12.643580 19.461852
2026-02-22 0.412117 1.140224 2.488994 4.871934 8.661613 14.132100 22.262980
2026-03-01 0.318612 1.002409 2.362783 4.882673 9.028921 15.165769 24.467633
2026-03-08 0.217645 0.809067 2.095148 4.616246 8.932066 15.504677 25.688664
2026-03-15 0.150549 0.666303 1.891942 4.428067 8.931900 15.970619 27.093342
2026-03-22 0.128812 0.639232 1.922001 4.665190 9.644261 17.544462 30.171359
2026-03-29 0.114792 0.632370 1.999162 5.006314 10.566675 19.502219 33.920037
2026-04-05 0.099223 0.613509 2.045659 5.291808 11.410014 21.370634 37.597761
2026-04-12 0.076001 0.553122 1.981055 5.347321 11.851248 22.617654 40.373218
2026-04-19 0.051164 0.465423 1.826546 5.196773 11.908738 23.244626 42.213803
2026-04-26 0.034104 0.394793 1.697256 5.079881 12.013109 23.944201 44.180192
2026-05-03 0.022131 0.334911 1.580129 4.971205 12.118623 24.640860 46.152326
2026-05-10 0.014480 0.289701 1.493316 4.918598 12.323459 25.506689 48.411544
2026-05-17 0.011883 0.281480 1.524997 5.150801 13.097727 27.368583 52.313410
2026-05-24 0.007907 0.250525 1.469869 5.163480 13.433356 28.482105 55.030404
2026-05-31 0.003649 0.196373 1.309175 4.886398 13.159713 28.517106 55.984492
2026-06-07 0.001590 0.157458 1.188097 4.690463 13.033537 28.799146 57.342605